Market Types
Kuest supports several types of prediction markets:Binary Markets
The most common market type where traders predict Yes or No outcomes:- Political Events: Elections, policy decisions, and political outcomes
- Sports: Game winners, player performances, and season outcomes
- Crypto: Price movements, protocol launches, and ecosystem events
- Entertainment: Award shows, box office performance, and content releases
Sports Markets
Specialized sports markets include:- Moneyline: Predict the game winner
- Spread: Predict winners against a point spread
- Props: Player and game-specific propositions
- Futures: Season-long outcomes and championships
- Live game tracking
- Real-time odds updates
- Team logos and game information
- Organized by sport (NFL, NBA, MLB, etc.)
Categorical Markets
Markets with multiple possible outcomes beyond Yes/No, allowing traders to choose from several distinct scenarios.Market Categories
Markets are organized into main categories:- Politics: Elections, legislative outcomes, policy decisions
- Sports: Professional and collegiate sports events
- Crypto: Cryptocurrency prices, DeFi protocols, blockchain events
- Entertainment: Movies, music, awards, and pop culture
- Business: Corporate events, earnings, and market movements
- Science & Tech: Technology launches, scientific discoveries
Market Lifecycle
Market Creation
Markets are created with defined resolution criteria, end dates, and rules. Each market specifies exactly how and when it will be resolved.
Trading Period
Users can buy and sell Yes/No shares throughout the market’s active period. Prices reflect real-time probability assessments from all traders.
Market Resolution
When the event concludes, markets enter the resolution phase. The oracle determines the outcome based on the predefined rules.
How Markets Work
Probability and Pricing
Market prices represent the probability of an outcome:- A Yes share trading at $0.65 indicates a 65% probability
- The corresponding No share trades at $0.35 (35% probability)
- Prices are determined by supply and demand from all traders
Market Liquidity
Liquidity determines how easily you can trade:- Volume: Total value traded in the market
- Open Orders: Available buy and sell orders in the order book
- Spread: Difference between highest bid and lowest ask
Market Information
Each market displays:- Volume: Total trading volume in USD
- 24h Change: Price movement over the last 24 hours
- Price Chart: Historical price data showing probability changes
- Order Book: All open buy and sell orders
- Rules: Resolution criteria and oracle information
- Timeline: Key dates and resolution timeline
Finding Markets
Browse by Category
Navigate to specific categories from the main menu to see all active markets in that vertical.Search
Use the search bar in the header to find specific markets by keyword, topic, or event name.Filters
Filter markets by:- Time period (today, this week, this month)
- Status (open, resolved, closing soon)
- Volume (highest volume first)
- Tags and subcategories
Market Features
Market Comments
Discuss markets with other traders:- Share analysis and reasoning
- React to comments with likes
- Follow market discussions in real-time
- Get notifications for mentions and replies
Market Activity
View recent trades and market activity:- Recent buy and sell transactions
- Large position changes
- Top holders and their positions
Bookmarks
Save markets to track later:- Click the bookmark icon on any market
- Access bookmarked markets from your profile
- Get notifications when bookmarked markets near resolution
Market Rules
Every market includes detailed rules that specify:- Resolution Criteria: Exactly how the outcome will be determined
- Resolution Source: The authoritative source for the outcome
- Resolver: The oracle contract that will resolve the market
- End Date: When the market closes to new positions
- Resolution Date: When the outcome will be determined
Market Resolution
Markets are resolved through a transparent process:- Outcome Proposed: An oracle proposes the outcome based on rules
- Dispute Window: A period where the outcome can be disputed
- Final Review: If disputed, the outcome enters final review
- Settlement: The final outcome is set and winning shares can be redeemed
Related Resources
Trading
Learn how to trade on markets
UMA Oracles
Understand market resolution